Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-03 00:00:00+00:00 0.000092 0.000096 0.000101 0.000107 0.000113 0.000119 0.000126
2024-11-10 00:00:00+00:00 0.000086 0.000092 0.000100 0.000108 0.000118 0.000129 0.000143
2024-11-17 00:00:00+00:00 0.000081 0.000089 0.000099 0.000110 0.000123 0.000139 0.000160
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 0.000076 0.000085 0.000095 0.000108 0.000124 0.000144 0.000170
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 0.000074 0.000084 0.000096 0.000111 0.000130 0.000154 0.000189
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.000071 0.000081 0.000093 0.000109 0.000131 0.000159 0.000200
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.000067 0.000078 0.000091 0.000108 0.000131 0.000162 0.000210
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.000065 0.000076 0.000090 0.000108 0.000133 0.000169 0.000224
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.000064 0.000076 0.000090 0.000110 0.000138 0.000178 0.000245
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.000062 0.000073 0.000087 0.000108 0.000137 0.000179 0.000252
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.000059 0.000070 0.000084 0.000104 0.000133 0.000177 0.000253
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.000057 0.000067 0.000081 0.000102 0.000131 0.000176 0.000257
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.000054 0.000064 0.000078 0.000097 0.000127 0.000172 0.000255
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.000053 0.000064 0.000078 0.000099 0.000131 0.000182 0.000280
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.000052 0.000063 0.000078 0.000100 0.000135 0.000192 0.000309
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.000050 0.000062 0.000077 0.000099 0.000135 0.000195 0.000323
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.000050 0.000061 0.000077 0.000101 0.000140 0.000208 0.000361
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.000049 0.000060 0.000076 0.000100 0.000140 0.000211 0.000378
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.000047 0.000059 0.000074 0.000099 0.000140 0.000214 0.000394
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.000046 0.000058 0.000074 0.000099 0.000142 0.000222 0.000425
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.000046 0.000058 0.000074 0.000100 0.000146 0.000234 0.000474
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.000045 0.000056 0.000072 0.000098 0.000144 0.000234 0.000486
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.000043 0.000054 0.000070 0.000095 0.000140 0.000229 0.000480